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This paper describes recent work to strengthen nowcasting capacity at the IMF's European department. It motivates and …
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expected nonlinear effect of military action challenge the use of established nowcasting and shortterm forecasting …
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We develop a framework to nowcast (and forecast) economic variables with machine learning techniques. We explain how machine learning methods can address common shortcomings of traditional OLS-based models and use several machine learning models to predict real output growth with lower forecast...
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