Using county-level data on COVID-19 mortality and infections, along with county-level information on the adoption of … mortality. Our estimates suggest that advancing the date of NPI adoption by one day lowers the COVID-19 death rate by 2 … testing and mobility, and across various samples: national, restricted to the Northeast region, excluding New York, and …

response and mortality outcomes should be better than in 1918-20. We ask whether mortality from historical pandemics has any … predictive content for mortality in the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic. We find a strong persistence in public health performance in … the early days of the Covid-19 pandemic. Places that performed poorly in terms of mortality in 1918 were more likely to …

Mortality and economic contraction during the 1918-1920 Great Influenza Epidemic provide plausible upper bounds for … outcomes under the coronavirus (COVID-19). Data for 43 countries imply flu-related deaths in 1918-1920 of 39 million, 2 …

mortality, fertility, and the economy in the short and medium run. The role of nonpharmaceutical interventions in shaping those …