In this paper, we test Granger causality in VAR environment of the State Budget's capital expenditures on the GDP. There is no doubt that capital expenditures for infrastructure projects, energetic, communications and similar have direct and indirect impact on the GDP growth, but non-essential...

In this paper, we test cointegration between GDP and Public consumption of the Republic of North Macedonia, for quarterly data of twenty years' time series (2000Q1-2019Q4). We present results of two methods for cointegration test: first, residual regression test table and second, Engle & Granger...

In this paper, we test cointegration between GDP and Public consumption of the Republic of North Macedonia, for quarterly data of twenty years' time series (2000Q1-2019Q4). We present results of two methods for cointegration test: first, residual regression test table and second, Engle & Granger...

The main task of this paper is to determine accuracy of some of widely used technical analysis techniques for MBI-10 stocks price forecast at MSE. We are testing accuracy of several technical analysis techniques: MACD (Moving-Average Convergence/Divergence), RSI (Relative Strength Index),...

Risk estimation or volatility estimation at financial markets, particularly stock exchange markets, is complex issue of great importance to theorists and practitioners. Models used to estimate volatility forecasts are translated into better pricing of stocks and better risk management. The aim...

Time series is a collection of observations made at regular time intervals and its analysis refers to problems in correlations among successive observations. Time series analysis is applied in all areas of statistics but some of the most important include macroeconomic and financial time series....

We examine the valuation performance of Discounted Free Cash Flow Model (DFCF) at the Macedonian Stock Exchange (MSE) in order to determine if this model offer significant level of accuracy and relevancy for stock values determination. We find that stock values calculated with DCF model are very...

This study presents new vision how to upgrade business higher education at the Faculty of Economics at University of Tourism and Management in Skopje (UTMS). This paper is result of analyses of best practices of leading higher education institutions as well authors experience in higher education...

Dividend discount model (DDM) is the simplest model for valuing equities in finance. Many analysts belived that DDM is outmoded, but much of the intuition that drives Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is embedded in the DDM model. There are also specific companies stocks where the DDM model...

Prominent financial stock pricing models are built on assumption that asset returns follow a normal (Gaussian) distribution. However, many authors argue that in the practice stock returns are often characterized by skewness and kurtosis, so we test the existence of the Gaussian distribution of...