This study examines rainfall variability and its implications for wheat production risk in northeast Germany. The hedging effectiveness of rainfall options and the role of geographical basis risk are analyzed using a daily precipitation model. Simpler pricing methods such as the burn analysis...

Das Vertrauen der Konsumenten in gesunde Nahrungsmittel wird regelmäßig durch Lebensmittelskandale erschüttert. Im Zusammenhang mit der Diskussion von Maßnahmen, die seitens der Produzenten und/oder des Staates ergriffen werden, um Nahrungsmittelsicherheit zu gewährleisten, stellt sich die...

Systemic weather risk is a major obstacle for the formation of private (non- subsidized) crop insurance. This paper explores the possibility of spatial diversification of insurance by estimating the joint occurrence of unfavorable weather conditions in different locations. For that purpose...

This article develops an Indifference Pricing model for a weather derivative that is traded over the counter. The model is used to calculate ask and bid prices for a put option on a weather index in Germany. We find that under moderate risk aversion the maximal bid prices of grain producers...

In this article we price a precipitation option based on empirical weather data from Germany using different pricing methods, among them Burn Analysis, Index Value Simulation and Daily Simulation. For that purpose we develop a daily precipitation model. Moreover, a de-correlation analysis is...

Forecasting temperature in time and space is an important precondition for both the design of weather derivatives and the assessment of the hedging effectiveness of index based weather insur-ance. In this article, we show how this task can be accomplished by means of Kriging techniques....

In this paper we analyse the timing of disinvestment decisions by applying a real options approach to explain the experimentally observed disinvestment behaviour of agricultural entrepreneurs. Within this framework the tendency to postpone exit and termination choices can be rationalised. The...

Purpose – The authors' paper aims to deal with the question whether speculative bubbles are present in agricultural commodity prices. Design/methodology/approach – The authors apply a regime switching regression model to test the hypothesis that agricultural prices contain periodically...