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Actuaries manage risk, and asset price volatility is the most fundamental parameter in models of risk management. This … study utilizes recent advances in econometric theory to decompose total asset price volatility into a smooth, continuous … securities during the period 1999–2005. We find that discrete jumps contribute between 15% and 25% of total asset risk for all …
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We establish an empirical link between the ex-ante uncertainty about macroeconomic fundamentals and the ex-post resolution of this uncertainty in financial markets. We measure macroeconomic uncertainty using prices of economic derivatives and relate this measure to changes in implied...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466398
Economic uncertainty is considered not only one of the main causes of recessions, but also a major obstacle to economic recovery. Recent studies find that significantly high levels of uncertainty could have a non-linear impact that amplifies the response of macroeconomic variables. The objective...
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accounting for important features of bond return models such as time varying parameters, volatility dynamics, and unspanned macro … risk-adjusted portfolio returns after accounting for estimation error and model uncertainty, as evidenced by the …
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Asymmetries in volatility spillovers are highly relevant to risk valuation and portfolio diversification strategies in … volatility may spill over at different magnitudes. This paper fills this gap with two contributions. One, we suggest how to … quantify asymmetries in volatility spillovers due to bad and good volatility. Two, using high frequency data covering most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010407529