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This paper tests variants of the Black (1995) model for pricing the sovereign Credit Default Swaps (CDS) of Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Spain and Italy. The default intensity of each country is driven by two latent Gaussian factors. The model, which well fits observed CDS rates, can only be...
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yields over the credit default swap premium) in the Eurozone market by studying three markets simultaneously: 1) sovereign …We explore the dynamics of the adjusted swap spread (calculated as the difference between the swap rate and sovereign … bonds, 2) credit default swaps (CDS), and 3) swap rates. We find a strong relationship between the markets. Specifically …
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In this study, we analyze the reaction of the U.S. Treasury bond market to innovations in macroeconomic fundamentals. We identify these innovations based on macroeconomic news, which are defined as differences between the actual releases and market expectations. We find that that macroeconomic...
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We test the hypothesis that the government bond markets in the Eurozone are more fragile and more susceptible to self … countries in the Eurozone during 2010-11 was disconnected from underlying increases in the debt to GDP ratios and fiscal space … argue that this can drive member countries of the Eurozone into bad equilibria. We also find evidence that after years of …
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