Showing 1 - 10 of 75,940
We estimate the fiscal (spending) multiplier using quarterly U.S. data, 1986-2017. We define government spending shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013191269
overall and non-green multipliers are driven by southern provinces, while the green multiplier is driven by the rest of the … country, despite the contemporaneous green multiplier being equal to 1.43 in the south. I link the heterogeneity to governance … characteristics: higher government effectiveness and institutional quality decrease the overall and non-green multiplier, while they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014634134
larger multiplier when it issues short term debt. We find that the latter effect dominates and that the optimal policy for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013443719
In this paper, we use local projections to investigate the impact of consolidation shocks on GDP growth, conditional on the fragility of government finances. Based on a database of fiscal plans in OECD countries, we show that spending shocks are less detrimental than tax-based consolidation. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012012854
consumption. The results suggest that the output tax multiplier is positive and above one (in absolute value) in recessions but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012164687
Using novel data on military spending for 129 countries in the period 1988-2013, this paper provides new evidence on the effects of government spending on output in advanced and developing countries. Identifying government-spending shocks with an exogenous variation in military spending, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011992297
This paper shows that the fiscal multiplier for purchases of durable and investment goods is very small - much smaller … than the multiplier for nondurable goods. Standard models predict small durables multipliers because private sector …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011573302
We estimate state-dependent government spending multipliers for the United States. We use a Factor-Augmented Interacted Vector Autoregression (FAIVAR) model. This allows us to capture the time-varying monetary policy characteristics including the recent zero interest rate lower bound (ZLB)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012209159
This paper estimates the macroeconomic effects of government spending shocks in New Zealand. Using a structural vector autoregression (SVAR) model, I find small output multipliers for government consumption but large multipliers for government investment. Importantly, the real exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012548884
The Structural Vector Auto-regression (SVAR) approach to estimating fiscal multipliers, following the seminal paper by Blanchard and Perotti (2002), has been widely applied in the literature. In our pa-per we discuss the interpretation of these estimates and suggest that they are more useful for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009764859