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partisan differences to the less-polarized pre-Reagan era would increase the transfer multiplier by about 30 cents per dollar …, and variation in governor's partisan composition similarly lead to variation in the multiplier of around to 20 cents …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012419407
We estimate the fiscal (spending) multiplier using quarterly U.S. data, 1986-2017. We define government spending shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013191269
and reduces unemployment. This in turn lowers unemployment risk and thus precautionary saving, leading to a larger … response of private consumption than in a model with perfect insurance. The output multiplier is further amplified through a … unemployment risk more in the former case than in the latter, giving rise to countercyclical multipliers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843281
larger multiplier when it issues short term debt. We find that the latter effect dominates and that the optimal policy for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013443719
overall and non-green multipliers are driven by southern provinces, while the green multiplier is driven by the rest of the … country, despite the contemporaneous green multiplier being equal to 1.43 in the south. I link the heterogeneity to governance … characteristics: higher government effectiveness and institutional quality decrease the overall and non-green multiplier, while they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014634134
In this paper, we use local projections to investigate the impact of consolidation shocks on GDP growth, conditional on the fragility of government finances. Based on a database of fiscal plans in OECD countries, we show that spending shocks are less detrimental than tax-based consolidation. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012012854
consumption. The results suggest that the output tax multiplier is positive and above one (in absolute value) in recessions but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012164687
Using novel data on military spending for 129 countries in the period 1988-2013, this paper provides new evidence on the effects of government spending on output in advanced and developing countries. Identifying government-spending shocks with an exogenous variation in military spending, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011992297
This paper shows that the fiscal multiplier for purchases of durable and investment goods is very small - much smaller … than the multiplier for nondurable goods. Standard models predict small durables multipliers because private sector …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011573302
We estimate state-dependent government spending multipliers for the United States. We use a Factor-Augmented Interacted Vector Autoregression (FAIVAR) model. This allows us to capture the time-varying monetary policy characteristics including the recent zero interest rate lower bound (ZLB)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012209159