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This paper studies an equilibrium model with heterogeneous agents, asset price bubbles, and trading constraints. Market liquidity is modeled as a stochastic quantity impact from trading on the price. Bubbles are larger in liquid markets and when trading constraints are more binding. Systemic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899970
The paper shows that lottery-like stocks are hedges against unexpected increases in market volatility. The loading on the aggregate volatility risk factor explains low returns to stocks with high maximum returns in the past (Bali, Cakici, and Whitelaw, 2011) and high expected skewness (Boyer,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940125
It is commonly overlooked that the concept of market efficiency embowers a time-dimension. Illustrating with an example from the class of persistent random walks, we show that a price process can be a martingale on one time-scale but inefficient on another. This means that just as market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012942063
We analyze optimal monetary policy when asset prices influence aggregate demand with a lag (as is well documented). In this context, as long as the central bank's main objective is to minimize the output gap, the central bank optimally induces asset price overshooting in response to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012825816
We investigate the sources of time-variation in the stock-oil correlation over the period 1986-2018. We first derive an oil futures return news decomposition following Campbell and Shiller (1988) and Campbell (1991). Then, for both stock and oil, we split unexpected returns into cash-flow news...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826383
We develop a dynamic equilibrium asset pricing model with heterogeneous beliefs to study the effects of monetary policy on prices, risk premia, asset price bubbles, and financial stability. Bubble risk premia arise from an interaction between disagreements among investors and dynamic trading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866817
This paper introduces a bubbly asset to a standard macroeconomic model with heterogeneous agents and borrowing constraints. In this tractable quantitative framework, I show the possibility of a return-preserving bubble that absorbs savings with no good investment opportunities. Analysis of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870109
We construct a New Keynesian DSGE model that features financial frictions, investment frictions, long-run productivity risk, and Epstein and Zin (1989) preferences. The model successfully reproduces key features of both asset prices and macroeconomic quantities. Under this set up, we examine the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968796
We show that after monetary policy announcements, the conditional volatility of stock market returns rises more for firms with stickier prices than for firms with more flexible prices. This differential reaction is economically large and strikingly robust to a broad array of checks. These...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012974569
We contribute to the growing debate on the relation between macroeconomic risk and stock price momentum. Not only is momentum seasonal, so is its net factor exposure. We show that winners and losers only differ in macroeconomic factor loadings during January, the one month when losers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012974948