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In this paper we examine why monetary aggregates of euro area Member States have developed differently since the inception of the euro. We derive a money demand equation that incorporates housing wealth and collateral as well as substitution effects on real money holdings. Empirically, we show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991096
The instability of standard money demand functions has undermined the role of monetary aggregates for monetary policy analysis in the euro area. This paper uses country-specific monetary aggregates to shed more light on the economics behind the instability of euro area money demand. Our results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270719
Although euro area-wide inflation was from 1999 to 2005 almost right, i.e., "close to balance, but below 2%," and … emerges at country level is more scattered. Inside a monetary union, inflation divergences could be destabilizing and an … excessive dispersion could be a problem, thus the scattered performance of the single members in terms of HICP inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014026523
Generally speaking, money demand models represent a natural benchmark against which monetary developments can be assessed. In particular, the existence of a well-specified and stable relationship between money and prices can be perceived as a prerequisite for the use of monetary aggregates in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317611
Long-run properties of EU-wide money aggregates are analyzed. For each of the three aggregates considered--Currency, M1 and M3H--it is possible to obtain cointegrating relationships with GDP and interest rates (long or short term market interest rates). Results are not improved when traditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014215580
This study presents the results of an empirical analysis of the demand for money in the European Union as a whole over the period 1971-1995, with a particular focus on the impact of financial wealth. The empirical evidence shows a substantial impact of wealth on the demand for M2 and M3, whereas...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014215582
The high degree of economic integration has led to an increased degree of currency substitution in the EU countries, which could bring instability in national money demand functions while an EU-wide money demand function could be more stable. Currency substitution usually takes the form of cross...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014070057
-specified and stable money demand in India after incorporating the inflation forecast variable as one of the essential determinants … aggregate, in the ongoing flexible inflation targeting framework, as one of the essential information or indicator variables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014500858
Poland edged towards hyperinflation towards the latter half of 1989,but inflation fell dramatically after drastic … reformswere enacted in January of 1990. We analyse the consistency betweenfiscal deficits and inflation targets and assess Poland … fiscal deficits and inflation. We also assessthe impact of financial sector measures on seignioragerevenue and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011301167
This paper examines the forecasting performance of a broad monetary aggregate (M3) in predicting euro area inflation … even in the period of the financial and economic crisis. Monetary indicators are useful to predict inflation at the longer … money and inflation, central banks should implement exit strategies from the current policy path, as soon as the financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009267841