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The current European Debt Crisis has led to a reinforced effort to identify the sources of risk and their influence on yields of European Government Bonds. Until now, the potentially nonlinear influence and the theoretical need for interactions reflecting flighttoquality and flight-to-liquidity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009771035
We study self- and cross-excitation of shocks in the Eurozone sovereign CDS market. We adopt a multivariate setting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010357304
There is a growing empirical literature studying whether fiscal rules reduce borrowing costs. Nevertheless, it remains an open question whether these rules are effective genuinely or just because they mirror fiscal preferences of politicians and voters. In our analysis of European bond spreads,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010336738
, we separate the probability of joint defaults of large Eurozone sovereigns (systemic risk) from that of sovereign …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013027364
Previous work has documented a greater sensitivity of long-term government bond yields to fundamentals in Euro area stress countries during the euro crisis, but we know little about the driver(s) of regimeswitches. Our estimates based on a panel smooth threshold regression model quantify and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013248886
In this paper, I use multivariate time series models in order to analyze the evolution of European Sovereign CDS spreads during the recent crisis. I find evidence that sovereigns' credit risk premia are non-stationary but cointegrated with simple measures of the countries' indebtedness and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078906
We study the determinants of sovereign credit risk in the euro area in a time period that includes the financial and sovereign debt crisis, as well as the unconventional monetary policy adopted by the European Central Bank. First, we detect the presence of commonality in sovereign credit spreads...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832740
This paper addresses the following questions. Is there evidence of financial contagion in the Eurozone? To what extent … matter concerning the Euro Zone. Second, differences in vulnerability to contagion within the Eurozone are even more … remarkable: the core Eurozone members become less vulnerable to EUZ contagion, possibly due to a safe-heaven effect, while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011731038
Previous work has documented a greater sensitivity of long-term government bond yields to fundamentals in Euro area stress countries during the euro crisis, but we know little about the driver(s) of regime-switches. Our estimates based on a panel smooth threshold regression model quantify and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011974869
Using a flexible threshold copula model, we investigate the pairwise tail dependence of Eurozone sovereign credit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012914425