A growing literature shows that credit indicators forecast aggregate real outcomes. While the literature has proposed … simple, frictionless, model explains empirical findings commonly attributed to credit cycles. Our key assumption is that … firms have heterogeneous exposures to underlying economy-wide shocks. This leads to endogenous dispersion in credit quality …

A growing literature shows that credit indicators forecast aggregate real outcomes. While researchers have proposed … simple, frictionless, model explains empirical findings commonly attributed to credit cycles. Our key assumption is that … firms have heterogeneous exposures to underlying economy-wide shocks. This leads to endogenous dispersion in credit quality …

Current empirical methods to identify and assess the impact of bank credit supply shocks rely strictly on multi … economy and most prone to credit supply shocks. We propose and underpin an alternative demand control (using industry …-location-size-time fixed effects) that allows identifying timevarying cross-sectional bank credit supply shocks using both single- and multi …

We study the relation between the credit cycle and macro-economic fundamentals in an intensity-based framework. Using … the credit cycle from the micro rating data. We relate this cycle to the business cycle, bank lending conditions, and … financial market variables. In line with earlier studies, these variables appear to explain part of the credit cycle. As our …