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A large output gap accompanied by stable inflation close to its target calls for further monetary accommodation, but the zero lower bound on interest rates has robbed the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the usual tool for its provision. We examine how public statements of FOMC intentions...
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Recent research has found that macroeconomic survey forecasts of uncertainty exhibit several deficiencies, such as horizon-dependent biases and lower accuracy than simple unconditional uncertainty forecasts. We examine the inflation uncertainty forecasts from the Bank of England, the Banco...
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money supply, money velocity, and the unemployment rate. Thus, five parameters, i.e. weights assigned to the deviation in … the money velocity, and the deviation in unemployment rate, are introduced and estimated. The article explores and tests … weight to the deviation in unemployment rate, and moderate weights are assigned to the deviation in the inflation rate, the …
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