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We empirically show across several broad asset classes that sectoral wealth shares do not positively correlate with their risk premia---a first-order prediction of canonical equilibrium models. We then analyze the roles mean-variance and hedging demand play in accounting for sectoral shifts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012957172
Focusing on both micro and aggregate U.S. data, we show the existence of a significant link between aggregate uncertainty and reallocation of resources away from R&D-intensive capital. This link is important because a decrease in the aggregate share of R&D-oriented capital forecasts lower...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902641
Empirically, a large fraction of the market equity premium is realized on days with significant macroeconomic announcements, such as the FOMC announcements and the unemployment report. This paper presents a theory and a quantitative model for the macroeconomic announcement premium. Our model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907780
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We use traded equity dividend strips from U.S., Europe, and Japan from 2004-2017 to study the slope of the term structure of equity dividend risk premia. In the data, a robust finding is that the term structure of dividend risk premia (growth rates) is positively (negatively) sloped in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889957
We develop a general equilibrium model in which income and dividends are smooth, but asset prices are subject to large moves (jumps). A prominent feature of the model is that the optimal decision of investors to learn the unobserved state triggers large asset-price jumps. We show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221105
We present a general equilibrium model to understand the implications of short-term debt playing a special role in an economy in providing liquidity and facilitating transactions. In our model the supplies of short-term public and private debt are an endogenous outcome of optimal actions by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116282
In this paper we show that temperature is an aggregate risk factor that adversely affects economic growth. Our argument is based on evidence from global capital markets which shows that the covariance between country equity returns and temperature (i.e., temperature betas) contains sharp...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118834