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(counter-)cyclical equity premium. We calibrate the level of ambiguity aversion to match only the first moment of the risk … using moderate levels of risk aversion. We find that this simple modification of a Lucas-tree model accounts for a large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125431
We use traded options on growth and value indices to test for clientele differences in risk preferences. Value … investors appear to have exhibited a higher average level of risk aversion than growth investors for two different time periods … with different levels of risk-aversion to switch between investment styles conditional upon the evolution of returns and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156425
Human beings want to believe that good outcomes in the future are more likely, but also want to make good decisions that increase average outcomes in the future. We consider a general equilibrium model with complete markets and show that when investors hold beliefs that optimally balance these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777581
We investigate investor's correlated attention as a determinant of excess stock market comovement. We propose a novel proxy, "co-attention", that measures the correlation in demand for market-wide information across stock markets approximated by the Google Search Volume Index (SVI). Our results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012941907
We study the predictive power of approximately 2.5 million stock picks submitted by individual users to the "CAPS" website run by the Motley Fool company (www.caps.fool.com). These picks prove to be surprisingly informative about future stock prices. Indeed, a strategy of shorting stocks with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008531
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012609481
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013263803
We propose a latent variables approach within a present-value model to estimate the expected returns and expected dividend growth rates of the aggregate stock market. This approach aggregates information contained in the history of price-dividend ratios and dividend growth rates to predict...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462393
We use traded options on growth and value indices to test for clientele differences in risk preferences. Value … investors appear to have exhibited a higher average level of risk aversion than growth investors for two different time periods … with different levels of risk-aversion to switch between investment styles conditional upon the evolution of returns and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463317