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Without any intervention, the novel coronavirus would cost the U.S. economy over $9 trillion. A suppression policy aims to reduce the number of new cases through strict social distancing measures by closing schools and non-essential businesses. Less restrictive, a mitigation policy aims to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838600
We show that new managers who take over mutual fund portfolios typically proceed to sell off inherited momentum losers. They sell losers at higher rates than stocks in any other momentumdecile, even after adjusting for concurrent trades in these stocks by continuing fund managers. This behavior...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012721820
The equilibrium magnitude of mispricing can be no greater than the cost of arbitraging it away. Yet, mispricing typically arises when the uncertainty about a firm is high, which is precisely when the stock's liquidity is low. This is the case for stocks with high analyst disagreement about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012723307
We present evidence of inefficient information processing in equity markets by documenting that negative information withheld by securities analysts is reflected in stock prices with a significant delay. We estimate the extent of the withheld negative information based on the proportion of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012726567
We show that new managers who take over mutual fund portfolios typically proceed to sell off inherited momentum losers. They sell losers at higher rates than stocks in any other momentum decile, even after adjusting for concurrent trades in these stocks by continuing fund managers. This behavior...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012727120
We present evidence of inefficient information processing in equity markets by documenting that biases in analysts' earnings forecasts are reflected in stock prices. In particular, we show that investors fail to fully account for optimistic bias associated with analyst disagreement. This bias...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012727130
I provide empirical support for Miller's (1977) hypothesis that a stock price will reflect the optimistic view whenever there is disagreement about its value. Using dispersion in analyst earnings forecasts as a proxy for disagreement, I find that high-dispersion stocks earn lower returns than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012728219
This paper documents a close link between mispricing and liquidity by investigating stocks with high analyst disagreement. Previous research finds that these stocks tend to be overpriced, but that prices correct downwards as uncertainty about earnings is resolved. Our analysis suggests that one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774484
We provide evidence that stocks with higher dispersion in analysts' earnings forecasts earn lower future returns than otherwise similar stocks. This effect is most pronounced in small stocks, and stocks that have performed poorly over the past year. Interpreting dispersion in analysts' forecasts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774520
We identify all return leader-follower pairs among individual stocks using Granger causality regressions. Thus-identified leaders reliably predict their followers' returns out of sample, and the return predictability works at the level of individual stocks rather than industries. Our results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908185