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The estimation and simulation results of a disaggregated structural model of u\U.S. security markets are presented in this paper. The model consists of estimated demands for corporate bonds, equities, and four distinct maturity classes of Treasury securities by 11 categories of investors. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763749
This paper tests the joint hypothesis of rational expectations and the expectations model of the term structure for three- and six-month Treasury bills. Previous studies are extended in three directions. First, common efficient markets-rational expectations tests are compared, and it is shown...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012767845
The financial market's understanding of Federal Reserve behavior is used to examine recent changes in monetary policy. Changes in the level of interest rats in response to specific types of economic information are primarily considered. Differences in the volatility of interest rates across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013215714
Intra-daily movements in the yen/dollar exchange rate were examined in four non-overlapping segments within each business day from January1980 to September 1985. The empirical results yielded several conclusions. First, most depreciation of the yen (appreciation of the dollar) from late 1982 to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218335
Evidence on the relationship between unanticipated money and interestrates has been provided by two types of studies. First, several researchers have investigated the relationship using quarterly data. Second, a number of researchers have examined the effect of money announcement surprises on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221326
This paper derives an estimation procedure which, when the same distributed lag appears twice in an equation to be estimated by least-squares regression, identifies all of the relevant coefficients and lag weights and also constrains the two sets of individual lag weights to be identical. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221548
The response of interest rates to money announcement surprises is examined both theoretically and empirically in this paper. In the theoretical models developed, not only changes in operating procedures, but also reserve requirement systems, are found to potentially affect the response....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223601
This paper examines the response of the term structure of interest rates to weekly money announcements. Estimated responses for both the pre- and post-October 1979 periods are first presented. Then, two competing hypotheses involving the policy anticipations and expected inflation effects are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013237278
This paper investigates the short-run effect of unexpected changes in the weekly money stock on common stock prices. Survey data on money market participants' forecasts of money changes are employed to construct the measure of unanticipated movements in the money stock. The results indicate that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247223
This paper examines the pervasiveness of the effects of U.S. monetary policy regime shifts and unanticipated changes in money on international financial markets. Four potential regimes from October 1977 to May 1985 are examined in terms of the response of yen-denominated securities in the Tokyo...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249380