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Volatility tests are an alternative to regression tests for evaluating the joint null hypothesis of market efficiency … taken to be. By considering tests based on conditional volatility bounds, we show that if the alternative is that one could … conditional volatility tests.If the application is to spot and forward markets, then the most powerful conditional volatility test …
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This paper investigates, both in finite samples and asymptotically, statistical inference on predictive regressions where time series are generated by present value models of asset prices. We show that regression-based tests, including optimal robust tests such as Jasson and Moreira's...
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compute a time-transformation (TT) function using the intraday integrated volatility estimated by a jump-robust method. The …-martingale hypothesis of the stock log-price process and estimate the daily realized volatility. Our method improves the normality … approximation of the standardized business-time return distribution. Our Monte Carlo results show that the integrated volatility …
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