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We set up and estimate a structural unobserved components open economy model for the rate of unemployment and the real … factors. Thus, the results indicate that the dramatic changes in the Swedish unemployment rate during the 1990s mainly was a … inflation is found to be quite sensitive to the unemployment gap. An increase in cyclical unemployment by 1 percentage point …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011583137
Using a New Keynesian Phillips curve, we document the rapid and persistent increase in the natural rate of unemployment … unemployment gaps. Through the lens of the model, the 2022-23 disinflation was driven by the expectation that the unemployment gap … will close through a progressive decline in 𝑢𝑡 ∗ and a rise in the unemployment rate. This implies that convergence to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014501075
We propose that the natural rate of unemployment has an active role in the business cycle, in contrast to the … Phillips-curve framework of low - often extremely low - response of inflation to unemployment could be the result of fairly … most Phillips-curve studies, that conclude that inflation has little relation to unemployment. We suggest that the flat …
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This paper studies the dynamics of unemployment (u) and its natural rate (u*), with u* measured by real-time estimates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705521
The study mainly focused on the estimation and implementation of the concept of nonaccelerating inflation rate of … unemployment (NAIRU) in prominent SAARC countries (Pakistan, Bangladesh, India, Sri Lanka and Nepal) by using a panel dataset … that when actual unemployment rate was below the reported value of NAIRU, there was a pressure on inflation rate to rise …
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