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This paper extends the game-theoretic model of Von Hagen and Harden (1995) that analyzes the impact of fiscal discipline on budgetary outcomes.It analyzes the effects on budgetary outcomes of both fiscal and monetary discipline, which are evaluated with respect to the relevant institutional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322145
There is a wide range of theories that try to explain interactions between politics end economy that are referred as political cycles. Majority of these theories aims at analysis of changes in economic outcomes that are related to elections or other phenomena in the political reality. To induce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322227
I study the short-term impact of surprise inflation on the primary balance by separating those budgetary items which immediately respond to inflation from non-responding ones. I assume a passive fiscal policy in a one-year horizon; therefore items fully controlled by the central government are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322407
In this paper I develop a simple dynamic agency model postulating that, among budgetary institutions, transparency of the budgeting process is the main driving force in explaining differences in fiscal outcomes and that budgetary numeric rules can be an active long-run constraint only if the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322596
Uncertainty about the future preferences of the government may induce policy makers to run excessive budget deficits. As a solution to this problem, economists have proposed to impose a binding debt rule. In this paper we argue that a binding debt rule does not eliminate the distortions due to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324588
According to an influential theoretical argument, presidential systems tend to present smaller governments because the separation between those who decide the size of the fiscal purse and those who allocate it creates incentives for lower public expenditures. In practice, forms of government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328234
Medium Term Fiscal Frameworks (MTFs) have become one of the most popular reforms to the budgetary process in Latin America during the last decade, and introducing MTFs seemed to be the magic solution for most fiscal ailments. Nonetheless, there has been no comprehensive evaluation of their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328269
We formulate and estimate a simple fiscal policy reaction function for the euro area and individual euro area countries. Our reaction function allows for primary surpluses to feature three components: an anti-cyclical response of primary surpluses to the output gap, a response to the debt-GDP...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330391
The aim of this paper is to analyze the budget execution of the Brazilian Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation (MCTI) in the period between 2001 and 2010 in order to evaluate if changes in its composition would indicate a greater emphasis on systemic innovation policies. Data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330595
In Deutschland wird eine umfassende Steuerstrukturreform bereits seit Jahren kontrovers diskutiert. Mit dem Eintritt der FDP in die Regierungsverantwortung erhält diese Debatte derzeit besondere Aktualität. Dieser Beitrag argumentiert, dass trotz oder gerade wegen leerer öffentlicher Kassen...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010331486