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Causal inference in the empirical sciences is based on counterfactuals. This paper presents the counterfactual account … counterfactuals for the case of a finite number of treatments, and illustrate these using a simple settheoretical framework. The paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011403468
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010462732
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013176781
Causal inference in the empirical sciences is based on counterfactuals. This paper presents the counterfactual account … counterfactuals for the case of a finite number of treatments, and illustrate these using a simple settheoretical framework. The paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010262562
model of agent choice and outcomes is used to illustrate the main ideas. We formally develop models for counterfactuals and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024945
average treatment effects, based on forecasting counterfactuals using a short time series of pre-treatment data. We show that … counterfactuals. Basing the forecasts on a model can introduce misspecification bias and does not necessarily improve performance even …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014335601
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014282576
Causal inference in the empirical sciences is based on counterfactuals. This paper presents the counterfactual account … counterfactuals for the case of a finite number of treatments, and illustrate these using a simple set-theoretical framework. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005761646
We examine the evolution of monetary policy rules in a group of inflation targeting countries (Australia, Canada, New Zealand, Sweden and the United Kingdom), applying a moment-based estimator in a time-varying parameter model with endogenous regressors. Using this novel flexible framework, our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322229
We estimate a large Bayesian time-varying parameter vector autoregressive (TVP-VAR) model of daily stock return volatilities for 35 U.S. and European financial institutions. Based on that model we extract a connectedness index in the spirit of Diebold and Yilmaz (2014) (DYCI). We show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060204