Beliefs about collective outcomes, such as economic growth or firm profitability, play an important role in many … contexts. We study biases in the formation of such beliefs. Specifically, we explore whether over-optimism and self …-serving biases in information processing—documented for beliefs about individual outcomes—affect beliefs about collective outcomes …

Beliefs about collective outcomes, such as economic growth or firm profitability, play an important role in many … contexts. We study biases in the formation of such beliefs. Specifically, we explore whether over-optimism and self …-serving biases in information processing-documented for beliefs about individual outcomes-affect beliefs about collective outcomes …

Beliefs about collective outcomes, such as economic growth or firm profitability, play an important role in many … contexts. We study biases in the formation of such beliefs. Specifically, we explore whether over-optimism and self …-serving biases in information processing—documented for beliefs about individual outcomes—affect beliefs about collective outcomes …

of cooperation is quite high also among colleagues. By analyzing first- and second-order beliefs, we show that the …

-in-the-field experiment assesses the extent to which intoxication leads to changes in overconfidence or cognitive ability that are often …

-in-the-field experiment assesses the extent to which intoxication leads to changes in overconfidence or cognitive ability that are often …

private university allows us to estimate how peer effects influence health beliefs and vaccination choices. Our results …

private university allows us to estimate how peer effects influence health beliefs and vaccination choices. Our results …

Beliefs about collective outcomes, such as economic growth or firm profitability, play an important role in many … contexts. We study biases in the formation of such beliefs. Specifically, we explore whether over-optimism and self …-serving biases in information processing— documented for beliefs about individual outcomes—affect beliefs about collective outcomes …