Insbesondere seit der Wahl Donald Trumps zum Präsidenten der USA stellen sich viele politische Beobachter die Frage, wie zuverlässig die USA für ihre Partner noch sind. Frühere gemeinsame Ziele, wie Freihandel, Klimaschutz und verlässliche transatlantische Beziehungen, sind nicht mehr...

Insbesondere seit der Wahl Donald Trumps zum Präsidenten der USA stellen sich viele politische Beobachter die Frage, wie zuverlässig die USA für ihre Partner noch sind. Frühere gemeinsame Ziele, wie Freihandel, Klimaschutz und verlässliche transatlantische Beziehungen, sind nicht mehr...

Can one single political leader influence macroeconomic expectations on a global scale? We design a large-scale survey experiment among influential economic experts working in more than 100 countries and use the 2020 US presidential election as a quasi-natural experiment to identify the effect...

We use the US presidential election on 3 November 2020 to examine how the US president influences economic expectations of international experts. We design a large-scale RCT among 843 experts working in 107 countries, asking about their expectations regarding GDP growth, unemployment, inflation,...

We use the US presidential election on 3 November 2020 to examine how the US president influences economic expectations of international experts. We design a large-scale RCT among 843 experts working in 107 countries, asking about their expectations regarding GDP growth, unemployment, inflation,...

We use the US presidential election on 3 November 2020 to examine how the US president influences economic expectations of international experts. We design a large-scale RCT among 843 experts working in 107 countries, asking about their expectations regarding GDP growth, unemployment, inflation,...

We use the US presidential election on 3 November 2020 to examine how the US president influences economic expectations of international experts. We design a large-scale RCT among 843 experts working in 107 countries, asking about their expectations regarding GDP growth, unemployment, inflation,...

We use the US presidential election on 3 November 2020 to examine how the US president influences economic expectations of international experts. We design a large-scale RCT among 843 experts working in 107 countries, asking about their expectations regarding GDP growth, unemployment, inflation,...

Can one single political leader influence macroeconomic expectations on a global scale? We design a large-scale survey experiment among influential economic experts working in more than 100 countries and use the 2020 US presidential election as a quasi-natural experiment to identify the effect...