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Targeting volatility has become very popular in the markets because it reduces the tail risk. However, during a market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013234906
In this paper the relatively new technique of neural nets is integrated in a traditional model of portfolio choice. On the basis of Arrow’s State Preference Model the investment decision depends on the expectation building process which consists of two components. The individual information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781736
The benefits of using flight-to-safety (FTS) in volatility forecasting are assessed within a multivariate GARCH framework. In particular, we propose realized semi-covariance between falling equity and rising safe haven returns as a proxy of FTS and we use it to model the conditional distribution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012916710
Bankruptcy is a menacing situation, which the investors, businesses, and the economy are afraid of, due to its adverse effects. Prediction of bankruptcy can help the investors and businesses in formulating their strategies in order to improve their profits or at least avoid losses. Researchers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012830915
Quite a few in-depth articles were found in the above-mentioned domain. Bankruptcy is one of the most critical factors which most of companies don't want to face. To predict the Bankruptcy of Banks, there have been several attempts made, some have been successful and some are coming up with new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832298
The research focuses on the financial turmoil, pursuing different methods to foretell such turmoil. Besides, the methods are undertaken from (McCulloch and Pitts 1943) and ended till (Hosaka 2019). The evidence from such a comprehensive analysis pointed to the use of various ratios using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832626
nonlinearity, and improved out-of-sample prediction. This article conducted a comprehensive, objective, and quantitative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014332691
benchmarks in terms of risk minimization. These effects are amplified for investors with an increased sensitivity to risk …-adjusted returns, during high volatility periods or when accounting for tail risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013219036
We consolidate alternative ways for identifying stable and stressful scenarios in the S&P 500 market to construct contagion tests for recipient markets vulnerable to disturbances from this source market. The S&P 500 is decomposed into discrete conditions of: (1) Tranquil versus turbulent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012156543
risk factors. Risk factor correlation increases when investor sentiment worsens. This suggests that corporate bond … investors change their perception of risk factors, which results in higher risk factor correlation and finally higher bond …Diversification benefits depend on the correlation between assets. Unfortunately, asset correlation increases when it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009777926