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. High-frequency log-returns feature important kurtosis (fat tails) and volatility clustering (extreme log-returns appear in … the marks (exceedance sizes). The conditional approach features intraday clustering of extremes and is used to calculate …
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In this paper, we study a bivariate shot noise self-exciting process. This process includes both externally excited joint jumps, which are distributed according to a shot noise Cox process, and two separate self-excited jumps, which are distributed according to the branching structure of a...
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In this note, we cast a Hawkes process-based order book model into a markovian setting and; using techniques from the theory of Markov chains and stochastic stability, show that the order book is stable and leads to a diffusive price limit at large time scales.
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Dynamic jumps in the price and volatility of an asset are modelled using a joint Hawkes process in conjunction with a bivariate jump diffusion. A state space representation is used to link observed returns, plus nonparametric measures of integrated volatility and price jumps, to the specified...
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Modeling and forecasting realized volatility is of paramount importance. Recent econometric developments allow total volatility to be decomposed into its' constituent continuous and jump components. While previous studies have examined the role of both components in forecasting, little analysis...
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