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The concept of “overconfidence” is one of the great success stories of psychological research, influencing discourse in the popular press, business, and public policy. Relative to underconfidence, overconfidence at various tasks is purportedly associated with greater narcissism, lower...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014344292
. Our results apply to stationary and ergodic time series. In a simulation study we show that our asymptotic theory provides …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011622915
dynamic relation between market risk and credit risk in an equilibrium framework with a common non stationary factor. This … market risk and credit risk and predominant price leadership in the VIX market. CDS spreads can thus be replicated through … risk by building a pairs arbitrage strategy whose profits are driven by the common price discovery factor. The respective …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128397
Starting from the requirement that risk measures of financial portfolios should be based on their losses, not their … gains, we define the notion of loss-based risk measure and study the properties of this class of risk measures. We … characterize loss-based risk measures by a representation theorem and give examples of such risk measures. We then discuss the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130514
We investigate the dynamics of the relationship between returns and extreme downside risk in different states of the … market by combining the framework of Bali, Demirtas, and Levy (2009) with a Markov switching mechanism. We show that the risk … periods of market turbulence. This is puzzling since it is during such periods that downside risk should be most prominent. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015516
5 to 7 years, to study the nature of the link between credit risk and market risk, widely acknowledged in the academic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013039122
Risk assessments often encounter extreme settings with very few or no occurrences in reality. Inferences about risk … indicators in such settings face the problem of insufficient data. Extreme value theory is particularly well suited for handling … this type of problems. This paper uses a multivariate extreme value theory approach to establish thresholds for signaling …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012731377
In this paper we define a new dynamic approach for measuring the Cash- Flow-at-Risk of a firm. Starting from the … records, we define a new risk measure, tailored on our dynamic approach, which takes full advantage of its focus on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012896115
We investigate the dynamics of the relationship between returns and extreme downside risk in different states of the … market by combining the framework of Bali, Demirtas, and Levy (2009) with a Markov switching mechanism. We show that the risk … periods of market turbulence. This is puzzling since it is during such periods that downside risk should be most prominent. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012871525
quantile and expectile estimation, a platform for risk assessment is provided. ES and implications for tail events under … different distributional scenarios are investigated, particularly we discuss the implications of increased tail risk for mixture … can be successfully estimated on a daily basis using a one-year time horizon across different risk levels …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012854818