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Most existing macro-finance term structure models (MTSMs) appear incompatible with regression evidence of unspanned macro risk. This “spanning puzzle” appears to invalidate those models in favor of new unspanned MTSMs. However, our empirical analysis supports the previous spanned models....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972542
The paper estimates a model that allows for shifts in the aggressiveness of monetary policy and time variation in the distribution of macroeconomic shocks. These model features induce variations in the cyclical properties of inflation and the riskiness of bonds. The estimation identifies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973281
We document a large return drift around monetary policy announcements by the Federal Open Market Committee. Stock returns start drifting up 25 days before expansionary monetary policy surprises, whereas they decrease before contractionary surprises. The cumulative return difference across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012946927
In this paper we propose a new indicator of central bank's verbal guidance, which measures communications about the future based on the frequency of future verbs in monetary policy statements. We consider the press conferences of the European Central Bank as a test case. First, we analyze the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012947321
The assessment provides evidence of market segmentation across Islamic and conventional banks in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), leading to excess liquidity, and an uneven playing field for Islamic banks that might affect their growth. Liquidiy management has been a long-standing concern in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950440
In 2016, the Bank of Russia implemented a conservative monetary policy aimed at mitigating inflation. Commercial banks decreased their demand for central bank refinancing as the Reserve Fund was spent, in which case the central bank had to employ a set of instruments to prevent an increase in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012952702
This study seeks evidence supporting the impact of an expansionary monetary policy on the stock index value. We are trying to emphasize a negative relationship between a stock index value and a fluctuation of the long-term interest rates due to an excess supply of money. To that end, we have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956202
Since the early 1990's, and until the 2008 financial crisis, the main policy tool of the FOMC has been a nominal interest rate target. This paper surveys an extensive literature that studies the link between monetary policy and the dynamics of bond yields. This literature uses ‘high-frequency'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020623
This paper is a comprehensive study of the discussion and empirical evidence about the impact of unconventional monetary policy on bond markets. The 2007/2008 Financial Crisis marks the beginning of a new monetary policy regime in which central banks engaged in different types of large scale...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020631
This chapter utilizes the social fabric matrix approach (SFM-A) to provide a detailed description of the Federal Reserve's (Fed's) daily operations and the recent financial crisis. The SFM of the Fed's operations presents the primary components- major norms, institutions, technologies- relevant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013037851