Showing 41 - 50 of 463,255
improved ex-post volatility measurements but has also inspired research into their potential value as an informa-tion source … for longer horizon volatility forecasts. In this paper we explore the forecasting value of these high fre-quency series in … conjunction with a variety of volatility models for returns on the Standard & Poor's 100 stock index. We consider two so …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326944
market uncertainty and volatility of the investment instruments. Thus, the prediction of the uncertainty and volatilities of … to identify the best fit model that can predict the volatility of return of Bitcoin, which is in high demand as an … the residuals of the average equation model selected have ARCH effect. Volatility of Bitcoin return series after detection …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014382180
comovements and the other volatility-induced return comovements. Following Baker and Wurglur (2006), we construct an investor … market volatility. We find that a correlated trading behaviour along with investor sentiment significantly determines excess … stock returns. Also stocks with high volatility exhibit higher return comovement properties compared to low volatilie stocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073102
We investigate the impact of China's economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on the time series variation of Chinese stock market expected returns. Using the news based measure in Baker, Bloom, and Davis (2016), we find that EPU predicts negatively future stock market return at various horizons. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968808
This paper examines the hypothesis that both stock returns and volatility are asymmetric functions of past information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004440
We investigate the risk-return trade-off on the US and European stock markets. We investigate the non-linear risk-return trade-off with a special eye to the tails of the stock returns using quantile regressions. We first consider the US stock market portfolio. We find that the risk-return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012587977
volatility in Group of 20 countries using various methods, including panel regression with fixed effects, panel quantile … and negative investor sentiments and stock market returns and volatility. Specifically, an increase in positive investor …. The effect of investor sentiment on volatility is consistent across the distribution: negative sentiment increases …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013272311
volatility. Our findings indicate that a negative relation between equity market returns and volatility prevails even after … having controlled for the time-varying determinants of conditional volatility within each regime. We also find an asymmetry … in the effect of price range on intra- and inter-regime return volatility. While price range has a stronger effect in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034502
This study aims at comparing Google Search Volume Indices (GSVIs—including market crash and bear market) and VIX (Investor Fear Gauge Index) in terms of explaining the S&P 500 returns. The VIX is found a more robust predictor of stock market returns than Google indices, and it does granger...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011886968
This paper examines the stock market returns and volatility relationship using US daily returns from May 26, 1952 to … September 29, 2006. The empirical evidence reported here does not support the proposition that the return-volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012915248