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. The results indicate that persistence is higher at lower frequencies, for both returns and their volatility. This is true …This paper investigates persistence in financial time series at three different frequencies (daily, weekly and monthly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011619676
, stock market volatility, and geopolitical risks. In particular, our aim is to determine whether these forms of uncertainty … volatility, which impact negatively in share prices, both in the short and long term. Regarding Brazil, the global uncertainty in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012489744
focuses on volatility, where volatility is derived from a GARCH model. The results suggest that models which account for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096369
Despite momentum's strong historical performance, its returns have large negative skewness and occasionally experiences persistent strings of sharp negative returns, referred as "momentum crashes" in the recent literature. I argue that momentum crashes are due to crowded trades which push prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013057742
country betas are time-varying and that currently, global factors are the dominant source of equity market volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079478
This paper examines the impact of changes in economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and COVID-19 shock on stock returns. Tests of 16 global stock market indices, using monthly data from January 1990 to August 2021, suggest a negative relation between the stock return and a country’s EPU. Evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012813880
for each country, and investigates the spillover effects on the country-level stock market idiosyncratic volatility across … on the country-level stock market idiosyncratic volatility. We find that that the effect of developed … idiosyncratic volatility continues when we utilize various economic, financial, and political risk factors as controls, as well as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013406077
both conditional volatility and skewness. This has first order implications for managing risks associated with momentum … investing: an adjusted momentum portfolio which hedges in real time for both volatility and skewness risk outperforms benchmark … constant and dynamic volatility-managed momentum strategies. This result holds for different levels of transaction costs and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403316
returns and the equity variance premium. We evaluate a plethora of state-of-the-art volatility forecasting models to produce …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054678
returns and the equity variance premium. We evaluate a plethora of state-of-the-art volatility forecasting models to produce …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034867