In this paper we extend the Stock and Watson’s (Leading economic indicators, new approaches and forecasting records, <CitationRef CitationID="CR17">1991</CitationRef>) single-index dynamic factor model in an econometric framework that has the advantage of combining information from real and financial indicators published at different...</citationref>

We show that the single-index dynamic factor model developed by Aruoba and Diebold (Am Econ Rev, 100:20-24, 2010) to construct an index of US business cycle conditions is also very useful for forecasting US GDP growth in real time. In addition, we adapt the model to include survey data and...

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