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Simulation-based estimation methods have become more widely used in recent years. We propose a set of tests for structural change in models estimates via Simulated Method of Moments (see Duffie and Singleton (1993)). These tests extend the recent work of Andrews (1993) and Sowell (1996a, b)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100632
Several estimation procedures such as the Efficient Method of Moments (EMM) of Gallant and Tauchen (1996) and Indirect Inference procedure of Gouriéroux, Monfort and Renault (1993) involve two models, an auxiliary one and a model of interest. The role played by both models poses challenges and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100664
This paper considers predictive tests for structural change in models estimated via Generalized Method of Moments. Our analysis extends earlier work by Ghysels and Hall (1990a) by allowing for the instability to occur at an unknown point in the sample. We analyze various statistics based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100750
In this paper, the authors survey some of the recent techniques proposed in the literature to measure the trend component of output or potential output. Given the reported shortcomings of mechanical filters and univariate approaches to estimate potential output, the paper focusses on three...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162393
The authors examine the evidence presented by Galí and Gertler (1999) and Galí, Gertler, and Lopez-Salido (2001, 2003) that the inflation dynamics in the United States can be well-described by the New Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC). The authors address several important econometrics issues...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162506
This paper proposes Pearson-type statistics based on implied probabilities to detect structural change. The class of generalized empirical likelihood estimators (see Smith, 1997) assigns a set of probabilities to each observation such that moment conditions are satisfied. These restricted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005168871
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005192422
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005192824
We analyze the modifications that occur in indirect inference when a nuisance parameter is not identified under the null hypothesis. We develop a testing procedure adapted to this simulation-based estimation method, and detail its use for detecting the threshold effect in threshold moving...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005532540