coups. But while reducing the risk of conflict overall, increasing credibility can, over some range, worsen the effects of … natural resources and ethnic fragmentation on civil war. Empirical tests using various measures of political credibility …

counterinsurgency capacity in the first place; lack of credibility prevents rulers from writing contracts with counterinsurgents that … maximize counterinsurgency effort. Empirical tests across numerous subsamples using various measures of political credibility … support the conclusion that broad political credibility ranks at least as high as social fractionalization and natural …

coups. But while reducing the risk of conflict overall, increasing credibility can, over some range, worsen the effects of … natural resources and ethnic fragmentation on civil war. Empirical tests using various measures of political credibility …

coups. But while reducing the risk of conflict overall, increasing credibility can, over some range, worsen the effects of … natural resources and ethnic fragmentation on civil war. Empirical tests using various measures of political credibility …

While many recommend electoral democracy as a way to avoid or resolve civil conflict, the empirical record of electoral … democracy as an alternative to civil conflict is decidedly mixed. We apply recent work from new organizational economics on the …