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We study the problem of a policymaker who aims at taming the spread of an epidemic while minimizing its associated … characterized by three distinct periods: the epidemic is first let freely evolve, then vigorously tamed, and finally a less …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012269704
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In this work investigate the use of stochastic hybrid models, statistical model checking and machine learning to analyze, predict and control the rapid spreading of Covid-19. During the pandemic numerous studies using stochastic models have been produced. Most of these studies are used to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014336925
epidemic model and link valuations to infections via an asset-pricing framework with vaccines. Infections lower earnings growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833123
epidemic model and link valuations to infections by using an asset-pricing framework that accounts for vaccines. Infections …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834259
The need for the management of risks related to the COVID-19 epidemic in health, economics, finance and insurance became … an epidemic via a four-dimensional stochastic differential equation. Crucial time dependent input parameters include the … dynamics of an epidemic can be deduced from the proposed model. These form a basis for managing successfully an epidemic and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835745
Introduction: The current COVID-19 pandemic leads to a massive influx of patients to the ICU. Epidemic models focus on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837634
We aim to assess the impact of a pandemic data point on the calibration of a stochastic multi-population mortality projection model and its resulting projections for future mortality rates. Throughout the paper, we put focus on the Li and Lee mortality model, which has become a standard for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012805929
I show that the irreversibility of dying coupled with gradual information acquisition over time on the likely arrival and eventual effectiveness of vaccines confers a real option value to lockdown strategies that delay the incidence of a pandemic.The case for lockdown strategies becomes stronger...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510750
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