studies of infant mortality rates, perhaps more so than those of GDP. From the perspective of identifying possible … at all that the black market premium, the M2/GDP ratio, inflation, or the real exchange rate, all policy variables that … typically explain economic growth, help to explain declining infant mortality, and only weak evidence that real GDP per capita …

on managing the negative impacts on their GDP growth. Since EU countries vary considerably in many criteria, the same … estimation outputs show the stronger effect of the supply side on economic growth, the higher role of human capital in small EU … countries where R&D investment exceeds 3% of GDP, and the critical effect of exports on GDP growth in the large EU countries …

In this paper we propose a novel approach to obtain the predictive density of global GDP growth. It hinges upon a … bottom-up probabilistic model that estimates and combines single countries' predictive GDP growth densities, taking into … the United States,the euro area, and China via a conditional kernel density estimation of a joint distribution. Then, we …