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This paper aims an empirical investigation of uncertainty in the Euro Zone as well as the US. For this purpose I conduct a factor analysis of uncertainty measures starting in 2001 until the end of 2011. I use survey-based data provided by the ECB and the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009548349
We quantify spillovers of inflation expectations between the United States (US) and Euro Area (EA) based on break-even inflation (BEI) rates. In contrast to previous studies, we model US and EA BEI rates jointly in a structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model. The SVAR approach allows to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010255370
We tackle two questions in this paper: In the sovereign debt crisis, what moves the euro area inflation outlook and has the firm anchoring of medium to long-term inflation expectations been touched? Deriving densities from a new data set on options on the euro area harmonized index of consumer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010415789
This paper studies the determinants of inflation expectations and credibility in the European Central Bank (ECB) during the first decade of European monetary policy. As a measure of credibility we use the gap between the professional economists' inflation forecasts and the ECB's inflation...
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Austria, Finland and Sweden became members of the EU in 1995. This paper examines how support for the euro and trust in … in Sweden. Since the start of the crisis, trust in the ECB was strongly influenced by the pronounced increase in … performance of the euro area. Thus, the best way to foster support for the euro and trust in the ECB is to pursue policies aimed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012269193