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The SWIM package implements a flexible sensitivity analysis framework, based primarily on results and tools developed by Pesenti et al. (2019). SWIM provides a stressed version of a stochastic model, subject to model components (random variables) fulfilling given probabilistic constraints...
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Sensitivity analysis is an important component of model building, interpretation and validation. A model comprises a vector of random input factors, an aggregation function mapping input factors to a random output, and a (baseline) probability measure. A risk measure, such as Value-at-Risk and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012909627
Major (2018) discusses Euler/Aumann-Shapley allocations for non-linear portfolios. He argues convincingly that many (re)insurance portfolios, while non-linear, are nevertheless positively homogeneous, owing to the way that deductibles and limits are typically set. For such non-linear but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911075
In risk analysis, sensitivity measures quantify the extent to which the probability distribution of a model output is affected by changes (stresses) in individual random input factors. For input factors that are statistically dependent, we argue that a stress on one input should also precipitate...
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One of risk measures' key purposes is to consistently rank and distinguish between different risk profiles. From a practical perspective, a risk measure should also be robust, that is, insensitive to small perturbations in input assumptions. It is known in the literature Cont et al (2010),...
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We introduce an approach to sensitivity analysis of quantitative risk models, for the purpose of identifying the most influential inputs. The proposed approach relies on a change of measure derived by minimising the $\chi^2$-divergence, subject to a constraint (`stress') on the expectation of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013242059
In a quantitative model with uncertain inputs, the uncertainty of the output can be summarized by a risk measure. We propose a sensitivity analysis method based on derivatives of the output risk measure, in the direction of model inputs. This produces a global sensitivity measure, explicitly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034689