This technical note details an equilibrium asset pricing model for stocks and bonds under economic growth and inflation uncertainties using the Epstein and Zin preferences. Specifically, the results show that both equity and bond risk premiums are priced by growth and inflation uncertainties....

This paper shows that financial covenants have no value for creditors of highly levered firms, because an attempt to enforce their rights in technical default would result in a lower payoff than continued operations under shareholders' control. This explains the widespread use of cov-lite loans...

We estimate the costs of financial distress prior to default (pre-default costs) separately from the loss incurred at default (the loss given default) using a dynamic trade-off model of capital structure. We document that pre-default costs are on average equal to 6.5% of firm value per year. We...

We develop 50 novel indices of State-level Economic Policy Uncertainty (SEPU) based on newspaper coverage frequency using 204 million state newspaper articles from January 1990 to December 2019. We assess the validity of our measures. Our SEPU indices vary counter-cyclically with respect to...

Capital market assumptions (CMAs), which are long-term risk and return forecasts for asset classes, are important pillars of the investment industry. However, applying them reliably in portfolio construction has been (and still is) a challenge in the industry. Despite the difficulties, this...