We identify variables that help explain the persistent weakness of the Norwegian krone since 2016 within a fully simultaneous model of the underlying process driving the krone-euro exchange rate. In addition to a set of fundamental variables we consider non-traditional explanatory variables...

We examine weekly trading imbalances for speculators and small investors in the commodity futures market and their price and volatility effects over the period 1986-2012. First, speculators behave like short term momentum traders and long-term contrarians. Their imbalances are positively...

We test for price bubbles in fourteen national REIT markets and examine the extent of convergence toward a common trend between the REITs of these countries. Our methodology consists of the recently developed test of Phillips, Shi and Yu (2012) for mildly explosive processes, and the Phillips...

We examine the existence of herding and anti-herding (positive herding) behavior in major European benchmarking stock market indices. Following the recent events that unfolded in the Eurozone sovereign debt crisis our analysis is further expanded on two subsamples namely north and south European...

We investigate the price spread between gold and silver trading as a futures contract on COMEX. Although the correlation between gold and silver returns during this period was high we find evidence of time varying long term dependence in the spread, with the positive dependent relationship...

This paper applies recently developed procedures to monitor and date so-called "financial market dislocations", defined as periods in which substantial deviations from arbitrage parities take place. In particular, we focus on deviations from the triangular arbitrage parity for exchange rate...

This paper examines stock market integration between the ASEAN five and the US and China, respectively, over the period from November 2002 to March 2018. The linkages between both aggregate and financial sector stock indices (both weekly and monthly) are analysed using fractional integration and...

The exchange markets and the exchange rates of Asia and Latin America are studied econometrically. Endogenous structural change and cointegration analyzes and impulse-response functions are used. The findings indicate that: 1) the long-term timing of the exchange markets is low; 2) there is no...

We empirically reinvestigate the issue of excess comovement of commodity prices initially raised in Pindyck and Rotemberg (1990) and show that excess comovement, when it exists, can be related to hedging pressure and speculative intensity in commodity futures markets. Excess comovement appears...

In this paper we analyze the link between stock market performance and macroe conomic performance for a large number of countries. We study the short-run and long-run relationships and find that stock market returns do not coherently predict future macroeconomic changes for the majority of...