development of adjacent age groups is assured allowing for consistent forecasts. We develop an appropriate Markov Chain Monte … approach we are able to asses uncertainty intuitively by constructing error bands for the forecasts. We observe that in … particular parameter uncertainty is important for long-run forecasts. This implies that hitherto existing forecasting methods …

. We investigate the impact of demography on the Swedish real exchange rate, measured as the real TCW index, during 1960 to … exchange rate. A model using age shares alone as regressors is used for medium term out-of-sample forecasts, outperforming both … a naive forecast and forecasts based on an autoregressive model. Finally we use the estimated model in order to make …

. We investigate the impact of demography on the Swedish real exchange rate, measured as the real TCW index, during 1960 to …

main demographic forecasts up until the end of the century, and highlight the major challenges for cities. We conclude with …

development of adjacent age groups is assured allowing for consistent forecasts. We develop an appropriate Markov Chain Monte … approach we are able to asses uncertainty intuitively by constructing error bands for the forecasts. We observe that in … particular parameter uncertainty is important for long-run forecasts. This implies that hitherto existing forecasting methods …

development of adjacent age groups is assured allowing for consistent forecasts. We develop an appropriate Markov Chain Monte … approach we are able to asses uncertainty intuitively by constructing error bands for the forecasts. We observe that in … particular parameter uncertainty is important for long-run forecasts. This implies that hitherto existing forecasting methods …