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Keynes's uncertainty is not about white or black swans

Terzi, Andrea - In: Journal of post-Keynesian economics : JPKE 32 (2010) 4, pp. 559-565

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008652251

Introduction: Decision making and planning under low levels of predictability

Makridakis, Spyros G.; Taleb, Nassim Nicholas - In: International journal of forecasting 25 (2009) 4, pp. 716-733

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003921396

Living in a world of low levels of predictability

Makridakis, Spyros G.; Taleb, Nassim Nicholas - In: International journal of forecasting 25 (2009) 4, pp. 840-844

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003921464

Option traders use (very) sophisticated heuristics, never the Black–Scholes–Merton formula

Haug, Espen Gaarder; Taleb, Nassim Nicholas - In: Journal of economic behavior & organization : JEBO 77 (2011) 2, pp. 97-106

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009244114

Antifragilität : Anleitung für eine Welt, die wir nicht verstehen

Taleb, Nassim Nicholas - 2013 - 1. Aufl.

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009734457

Response to commentaries on "The illusion of predictability : how regression statistics mislead experts"

Soyer, Emre; Hogarth, Robin M. - In: International journal of forecasting 28 (2012) 3, pp. 719-721

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009659840

The problem is beyond psychology : the real world is more random than regression analyses

Taleb, Nassim Nicholas; Goldstein, Daniel G. - In: International journal of forecasting 28 (2012) 3, pp. 715-716

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009659847

A new heuristic measure of fragility and tail risks : application to stress testing

Taleb, Nassim Nicholas; Canetti, Elie; Kinda, Tidiane; … - 2012

This paper presents a simple heuristic measure of tail risk, which is applied to individual bank stress tests and to public debt. Stress testing can be seen as a first order test of the level of potential negative outcomes in response to tail shocks. However, the results of stress testing can be...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621630

Der Schwarze Schwan : die Macht höchst unwahrscheinlicher Ereignisse

Taleb, Nassim Nicholas - 2021

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012421082

A new heuristic measure of fragility and tail risks : application to stress testing

Taleb, Nassim Nicholas; Canetti, Elie; Kinda, Tidiane; … - In: Stress testing : principles, concepts, and frameworks, (pp. 261-276). 2020

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012373006