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Who Voted for Trump? Populism and Social Capital
Giuliano, Paola; Wacziarg, Romain - 2020
We argue that low levels of social capital are conducive to the electoral success of populist movements. Using a variety of data sources for the 2016 US Presidential election at the county and individual levels, we show that social capital, measured either by the density of memberships in civic,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012270249
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Import shocks and voting behavior in Europe revisited
Backes, Annika; Müller, Steffen - 2024
populism and, to a lesser extent, to the far-right. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014502573
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Instrumental Variables and Causal Mechanisms : Unpacking the Effect of Trade on Workers and Voters
Dippel, Christian - 2018
This paper shows that import exposure affects voting behavior because it affects local labor markets. We develop a new framework for mediation analysis where one instrumental variable is sufficient to identify three causal effects. Using German data from 1987–2009, we find that import exposure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927102
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#EleNão : economic crisis, the political gender gap, and the election of Bolsonaro
Barros, Laura; Santos Silva, Manuel - 2020 - This version: March 1, 2020
After more than one decade of sustained economic growth, accompanied by falling poverty and inequality, Brazil has been hit by an economic recession starting in 2014. This paper investigates the consequences of this labor market shock for the victory of far-right Jair Bolsonaro in the 2018...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012438200
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Electoral earthquake : natural disasters and the geography of discontent
Cerqua, Augusto; Ferrante, Chiara; Letta, Marco - 2021
The recent literature on the determinants of populism has highlighted the role of long-term trends of progressive …, the 2009 L’Aquila earthquake paved the way for an impressive and persistent surge in right-wing populism in the most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012494012
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Who voted for Trump? : populism and social capital
Giuliano, Paola; Wacziarg, Romain - 2020
We argue that low levels of social capital are conducive to the electoral success of populist movements. Using a variety of data sources for the 2016 US Presidential election at the county and individual levels, we show that social capital, measured either by the density of memberships in civic,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012262432
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The role of economic uncertainty in rising populism in the EU
Gozgor, Giray - 2020
24 European Union (EU) countries for the period from 1980 to 2020. In so doing, we focus on the shares of total populism …, right-wing populism, and left-wing populism votes as well as a new indicator of economic uncertainty, so-called, the "World … (IV) estimations, we show that a higher level of the WUI is positively related to total populism and right-wing populist …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012263395
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Wind of change? : experimental survey evidence on the COVID-19 shock and socio-political attitudes in Europe
Daniele, Gianmarco; Martinangeli, Andrea F. M.; … - 2020
This paper investigates whether the COVID-19 crisis has affected the way we think about (political) institutions, as well as our broader (policy) attitudes and values. We fielded large online survey experiments in Italy, Spain, Germany and the Netherlands, well into the first wave of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012263741
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Left behind voters, anti-elitism and popular will
Crutzen, Benoît; Sisak, Dana; Swank, Otto H. - 2020
Two common characteristics of populism are anti-elitism and favoring popular will over expertise. The recent successes …. This paper shows that the two characteristics of populism are responses to the common people being left behind. We develop …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012271010
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#EleNão : economic crisis, the political gender gap, and the election of Bolsonaro
Barros, Laura; Santos Silva, Manuel - 2019 - This version: August 9, 2019
After more than one decade of sustained economic growth, accompanied by falling poverty and inequality, Brazil has been hit by an economic recession starting in 2014. This paper investigates the consequences of this labor market shock for the victory of far-right Jair Bolsonaro in the 2018...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012054498