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This paper examines the efficient market hypothesis by applying monthly data for 15 international equity markets. With the exceptions of Canada and the U.S., the null for the absence of autocorrelations of stock returns is rejected for 13 out of 15 markets. The evidence also rejects the...
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An examination of Brexit and its initial impact on the main stock markets in the Greater China Region (GCR) was conducted using augmented market models that integrate Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) and implied volatility (VIX). The results do not seem to align with research in the field that...
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This paper investigates the causal relationship between economic policy narratives, derived from President Trump's tweets and tweeting behavior, and stock market uncertainty. To this end, I define different event types based on the occurrence probability of identifted narratives or unusual tweet...
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