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Empirical evidence indicates that both nominal and real yield curves in important markets have segmentation between their short end and their longer-maturity segments. This segmentation might affect term structure estimation, introducing distortions in longer-maturity yields, especially in...
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We combine high-frequency stock returns with risk-neutralization to extract the daily common component of tail risks perceived by investors in the cross-section of firms. We find that our tail risk measure significantly predicts the equity premium, variance risk premium and realized moments of...
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Traditional asset pricing tests boil down to evaluating the maximum Sharpe ratio obtained from the factors in a given model. This implicitly assumes the linear stochastic discount factor (SDF) that prices the factors as the asset pricing model. We generalize this approach by considering a...
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We show that net demand in the S&P 500 option market is fundamental to explain empirical puzzles related to the pricing kernel. When public investors (non-market makers) are exposed to variance risk by net-selling out-of-the-money (OTM) options, the pricing kernel is U-shaped, expected option...
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We introduce a novel approach to capture implied volatility smiles. Given any parametric option pricing model used to fit a smile, we train a deep feedforward neural network on the model's orthogonal residuals to correct for potential mispricings and boost performance. Using a large number of...
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