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The Case-Shiller is the reference repeat-sales index for the U.S. residential real estate market, yet it is released with a two-month delay. We find that incorporating recent information from 71 financial and macro predictors improves backcasts, now-casts, and short-term forecasts of the index...
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propose a mixed-frequency model to investigate the potential of using text data in form of newspaper articles for nowcasting … German GDP growth. Newspaper text data appears to be very helpful in this regard as it directly explains economic and social … on commonly used macro variables with and without additionally included information from text data (extracted in an …
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which to analyze the link between news and asset price dynamics. We detect the sentiment of news stories using a dictionary … of sentiment-related words and negations and propose a set of more than five thousand information-based variables that … information measures on daily realized volatility and select them by penalized regression. Then, we perform a forecasting exercise …
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