Long-term investors are often reluctant to invest in assets or strategies that can suffer from large drawdowns. A major challenge for such investors is to gain access to predictions of large drawdowns in order to precisely design strategies minimizing these drawdowns. In this paper, we describe...

The momentum toward greening the economy implies transition risks that are new threats to financial stability. In particular, the expectation that other investors may exclude high carbon corporate emitters from their portfolio creates a risk of runs on brown assets. We show that runs can be...

We develop a framework for the strategic interaction between a hedge fund and a prime broker. The hedge fund optimally determines its cash holdings and the fraction of shorted securities. The prime broker optimally determines its cash holdings, the margin rates, and the rehypothecation rate. The...

It is well known that strategies that allow investors to allocate their wealth using return and volatility forecasts, the use of which are termed market and volatility timing, are of significant value. In this paper, we show that distribution timing, defined here as the ability to use forecasts...

[spa] Gestión óptima de las finanzas públicas en presencia de costes de ajuste, . por Jean-François Loué y Eric Jondeau.. . Las modifîcaciones de las reglas fiscales y las modalidades de la acción y de los gastos públicos presentan incertidumbres para el sector privado y, por ende,...

[fre] Les politiques monétaires au sein du SME, . par Patrick Jacq, Eric Jondeau, Frank Sédillot. . . Les contraintes imposées par le SME et les perspectives de l 'union européenne ont permis une convergence spectaculaire des taux d'intérêt de l'ensemble des pays membres. Cette convergence...

[eng] The Sustainability of Budget Policy, . by Eric Jondeau.. . The hypothesis of the sustainability of French budget policy, according to which there is a long-term relationship between receipts and expenses, is tested and rejected. The reason for this is probably the change in the...

We investigate the implications of cross-country heterogeneity within the euro area for the design of optimal monetary policy. We build an optimizing-based multi-country model (MCM) describing the euro area in which differences between structural parameters across countries are allowed. Using...

Most rational expectations models involve equations in which the dependent variable is a function of its lags and its expected future value. We investigate the asymptotic bias of generalized method of moment (GMM) and maximum likelihood (ML) estimators in such models under misspecification. We...