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This paper examines the concept of inflation persistence in macroeconomic theory. It begins with a definition of …-information" models, learning models, and so-called "trend inflation models," providing some new results throughout …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153236
Low and unresponsive inflation has been termed a “puzzle.” The paper describes a formula for which these conditions … variability of forward long-term inflation. Its U.S. inflation forecasts are comparable to recognized leaders in accuracy with … potential applicability to international economies as well.Inflation Elasticity, the responsiveness of inflation to monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858878
In this paper we model monthly UK inflation and find that there is some small but significant autocorrelation …, particularly at 12 months. We find that this autocorrelation in monthly inflation leads to significant persistence in the headline … annual inflation figure. A one-off shock to monthly inflation will have an effect on the headline figure equal to 10% of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014491765
In this paper we investigate dynamics of global inflation and short-run inflation expectations. We estimate a global … inflationary pressure that could drive up inflation expectations: domestic aggregate demand and supply shocks as well as a global … increase in oil price inflation. Our results indicate that inflation expectations tend to increase as inflation accelerates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907659
This note examines Malaysia's inflation dynamics as influenced by changes in the policy environment and economic …, Malaysia's inflation dynamics are expected to change, and this will have implications for the central bank's policies ….Full Publication: 'http://ssrn.com/abstract=2870167' Inflation Mechanisms, Expectations and Monetary Policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979055
Brazil has experienced crucial changes in its inflation process since the adoption of inflation targeting in mid 1999 …. This article addresses changes in the analytical framework employed to track the inflation dynamics, specifically the … relevance of an explicit target for inflation. A New-Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) is derived incorporating indexation not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014060324
We study the characteristics of inflation targeting as a shock absorber, using quarterly data for a large panel of … natural disasters. We find that inflation targeting improves macroeconomic performance following such exogenous shocks. It … lowers inflation, raises output growth, and reduces inflation and growth variability compared to alternative monetary regimes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011790769
We construct an empirical test of whether the anticipation of adoption of inflation targeting affects the inflation … rate. We observe that most of the central banks adopt the regime after first achieving significant disinflation. With pre-inflation …-in-difference framework. We find that inflation targeting is successful in locking-in already low inflation rather than reducing high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014364299