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to forecast GDP nominal. The model is fully estimated in one step using a nonlinear Kalman ?lter, which is applied to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010900186
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013330862
The paper addresses the question on what is the typical time horizon over which a full transmission of movements in the real exchange rate into real economy takes place. To this end, we base our analysis on the mixed-frequency small-scale dynamic factor model of Siliverstovs (2012) fitted to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011183187
Indicators of trust, confidence, optimism or sentiment among consumers and/or investors, are published continuously in the mass media. More importantly, these indices seem not only to reflect how the state of the real economy is perceived by private agents, but can also help predict the future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300404
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010368564
Indicators of trust, confidence, optimism or sentiment among consumers and/or investors, are published continuously in the mass media. More importantly, these indices seem not only to reflect how the state of the real economy is perceived by private agents, but can also help predict the future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010509339
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010394237
In this paper I make use of Bayesian methods to estimate a firm-specific capital DSGE model with Calvo price and wage setting. This approach allows me to firmly conclude that firm-specific capital is highly relevant in improving the fit of New Keynesian models to the data as shown by a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010883463
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010955284
possible non-linear link between the BTS and private investment for forecasting purposes. We find that business confidence … that non-linear models are not superior to linear ones in forecasting Peruvian private investment. Additionally, the linear …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010819838