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We evaluate the macroeconomic performance of different monetary policy rules when there is exchange rate uncertainty. We do this in the context of a non-linear rational expectations model. The exchange rate is allowed to deviate from its fundamental value and the persistence of the deviation is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005704675
The role of monetary policy during periods of asset price volatility has been the subject of discussion among economists and policymakers at least since the 1920s and the Great Depression that followed. In this paper we survey the recent and rapidly growing literature on this topic, with an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005704683
Using a sticky price model with endogenous investment and adjustment costs we analyse the benefits of monetary policy reacting to asset prices, when investment is under the influence of a non-fundamental shock, both for inflation-forecast targeting rules and for Taylor rules. We conclude that in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005704690
In a linear rational expectations two-country model, using an aggregate demand-aggregate supply framework, we analyze the effects of the adoption of an inflation targeting regime on exchange rate volatility and the possible scope for policy coordination. This analysis is conducted using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005704695
We argue that the equation commonly used in the estimation of the wealth effect on consumption might be unsuitable for that purpose. In particular, if the usual assumptions are employed, the derivation of the equation implies that the wealth effect is indeterminate. Furthermore, it implies that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706243
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706818
Evidence of instability of the wealth effect in the USA is presented through the estimation of a Markov switching model of the long-run aggregate consumption function. The dating of the regimes appears to bear relation to movements in asset prices. A model-based explanation of the findings is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827126
This paper argues that nonlinear adjustment may provide a better explanation of °uctuations in the consumption-wealth ratio. The nonlinearity is captured by a Markov-switching vector error-correction model that allows the dynamics of the relationship to di®er across regimes. Estimation of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005771632
We analyse the effect of uncertainty concerning the state and the nature of asset price movements on the optimal monetary policy response. Uncertainty is modelled by adding Markov-switching shocks to a DSGE model with capital accumulation. In our analysis we consider both Taylor-type rules and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005771634
We analyse the monetary policy implications of boom-bust cycles in asset prices using a Markov-switching rational expectations model. In our simulations, when a bubble bursts, the Taylor rule fails to achieve a soft landing, contrary to the optimal policy.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008551400