What explains significant variation across countries in the use of vote buying instead of campaign promises to secure voter support? This paper explicitly models the tradeoff parties face between engaging in vote buying and making campaign promises, and explores the distributional consequences...

This paper investigates cross-sectoral productivity differentials in South African industry and their distributional consequences. The analysis shows that typically, traded sectors have experienced low productivity growth over the past decade, while skill intensive service sectors have had...

Fiscal buffers have shrunk across the world. This paper argues that limited fiscal room in emerging market economies today is partly due to the commodity super cycle of 2000-15. The super cycle created the mirage that economic performance had structurally improved, mistaking a long,...

Using a panel of 80 developing and developed countries for the period 1990-2015, this studyanalyses the relationship between exchange rate volatility and foreign direct investment (FDI)inflows. The results reveal a negative relationship between de facto exchange rate volatility andFDI. Reducing...

Since the global financial crisis and the end of the commodity super-cycle, weak growth and countercyclical fiscal policy have contributed to deteriorating public finances in many countries across the globe. As public debt burdens rose, credit ratings deteriorated and a number of countries have...

Recent theoretical and empirical research has shown that the type of government has an important impact on governments' incentives to borrow strategically before elections. This article brings together the findings of three studies, respectively by Chang (2008), Saporiti and Streb (2008), and...

The World Bank Group's Doing Business Indicators (DBIs) have become an important guide and benchmark for investment climate reform. This article discusses the role of the DBIs in the reform process and informs this discussion with an empirical analysis of the impact of individual indicators and...

Governments can finance fiscal expansions with debt to appear competent and boost their electoral prospects, resulting in a political budget cycle. This article shows that economic disturbances blur competence signals, dampening political budget cycles. Economic disturbances can be construed at...

Recent research has focused on the role of the political and institutional context for the occurrence of political budget cycles, i.e. fluctuations in the budget balance when elections loom. This study turns to the economic factors. A formal model predicts that higher economic volatility...