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From 2013 up to the launch of the ECB's strategy review in January 2020, inflation in the euro area was low and over …-predicted. This low inflation during the years 2013-19 can be attributed to a combination of interconnected factors. Cyclical … developments account for a substantial share of the fall in underlying inflation, mainly in the first part of the low inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012661662
From 2013 up to the launch of the ECB’s strategy review in January 2020, inflation in the euro area was low and over …-predicted. This low inflation during the years 2013-19 can be attributed to a combination of interconnected factors. Cyclical … developments account for a substantial share of the fall in underlying inflation, mainly in the first part of the low inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210844
designed. At the time, the main concern of the Governing Council was to anchor inflation at low levels in face of the … low-inflation environment has created the concrete risk of de-anchoring of longer-term inflation expectations. Addressing … low inflation is different from addressing high inflation. The ability of the ECB (and central banks globally) to provide …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012627164
well as the improvements made to this measure of inflation since 2003 – finds that the HICP continues to fulfil the …. More generally, the paper also finds that auxiliary inflation measures can play an important role in the ECB’s economic and … monetary analyses. This applies not only to analytical series including OOH, but also to measures of underlying inflation or a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012626725
inflation targeting result in a binding lower bound one-fourth of the time as well as inflation and output exhibiting large … purchases. Makeup strategies, especially average inflation targeting with a long averaging window, perform better than inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014278603
We analyze the economic performance of di§erent monetary policy strategies, or rules, in a low interest rate environment, using simulations with a DSGE model which has been estimated for the euro area. We study how often the e§ective lower bound of interest rates (ELB) is likely to bind, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012499974
In the aftermath of the global financial crisis, central banks started being confronted with severe challenges that led to an unprecedented policy response in terms of the size and variety of monetary policy measures. One such measure centred on central banks communicating to the public more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012886554
near-term economic outlook, characterised by persistently low nominal interest rates and inflation, and in a lasting low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012137689
near-term economic outlook, characterised by persistently low nominal interest rates and inflation, and in a lasting low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012149021
inflation, imperfect indexation, and a lower bound on the nominal interest rate. In this setup, a decrease in the steady … the inflation target of eighttenths the size of the drop in the real natural rate of interest is warranted. Absent an … increase in the inflation target, and assuming the effective lower bound prevents the European Central Bank from implementing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012815104