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Recessions and expansions are often caused or reinforced by developments in private consumption - the largest component of aggregate demand - which, as a result, varies over the business cycle. As such, an accurate measurement of the cyclical component of consumption and an understanding of its...
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idiosyncratic risk implied by the benchmark process is between two-to-four times higher than the canonical Gaussian one. Third, the … transitory income (e.g., from a stimulus check) is higher under non-Gaussian earnings risk. …
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substantial idiosyncratic income risk that is up to two orders of magnitude larger than total factor productivity uncertainty …
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income risk and taxes. We find that adding data on inequality does not materially change the estimated shocks and frictions …
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